UPDATE: Wednesday Jan 12: It's on. Swell is currently filling in to the UK's south west coast. A solid pulse that'll run right into the weekend. If you haven't already, book the day off work. And if you can't do that, keep an eye on Saturday.
Let's bounce this over to MSW forecaster Tony Butt for the updated breakdown: "In Cornwall, yesterday saw the back end of that last swell being replaced by the new one, with periods increasing towards the end of the day and the surf becoming more solid; wave heights around six feet or so at exposed spots, with moderate northeast winds.
"Today, conditions improve as winds turn to light easterlies, with wave heights around four or five feet, perhaps bigger first thing in the morning. Thursday and Friday also see very good wind conditions, with light east or southeast, with the swell holding at around four feet or so for most of the time.
This kind of situation, dominated by a slow-moving high pressure, is inherently stable, which also means that forecast reliabilities are very good."
Keep those peepers glued to your local spot!
EARLIER Friday, Jan 7: All eyes may be on Nazare right now but at the start of next week, the UK is set for some stunning conditions – nothing XXL but those kinds of days that makes us hoot. Plus, this'll be a welcome reprieve from days of onshore wind and stormy seas.
If you've been buzzing around today (and the next few days) trying to escape that 50mph onshore wind in the UK's south west, you might have scored a couple of quiet corners with decent conditions.
From Tuesday though – it's a game changer; decent sized swell, light but variable wind, basically; waves for days.
“After this weekend, high pressure is forecast to extend northwards, expected over Ireland by Tuesday and gradually drifting eastwards into the North Sea. This will create light winds and then easterlies over the southwest of the UK for practically the whole week,” said MSW wave guru Tony Butt.
“The other good news is that there is a third area of low pressure about to develop off the east coast of North America, which is forecast to deepen as it passes over Newfoundland tomorrow, Saturday. It then more or less follows in the path of the other two systems, expanding and further intensifying as it moves out into the open Atlantic. This system is less intense than the other two, but still contains a large area of storm-force winds that will generate some good medium-sized swell into next week.
“Forecast confidence (the percentage number on the right of the MSW spot forecasts – see my article HERE) for the southwest of the UK is quite high for most of next week. On Monday, conditions are still fairly lumpy off the back end of the big weekend swell, and with fresh westerly winds.
“Things improve on Tuesday as winds go light and variable and the swell holds at around four to six feet. On Wednesday, the swell becomes more lined up, with wave heights around four feet or so and light easterly winds. The swell then gradually declines over Thursday and Friday, but still very much surfable, with winds picking up from the east or southeast.”
Hit your local spots in the search above to keep an eye on things.